Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.871316 2.140034 2.435139 2.783502 3.183823 3.629837 4.164999
2025-07-13 1.525452 1.904618 2.360068 2.948588 3.690704 4.597793 5.794352
2025-07-20 1.280542 1.696748 2.228045 2.958294 3.939741 5.218558 7.020221
2025-07-27 1.141119 1.587309 2.185983 3.051730 4.278209 5.963318 8.471259
2025-08-03 1.006107 1.458911 2.092955 3.050812 4.470869 6.513584 9.702245
2025-08-10 0.893225 1.343876 1.999293 3.028769 4.618273 7.000773 10.882890
2025-08-17 0.793350 1.234021 1.897279 2.976529 4.705578 7.396291 11.956120
2025-08-24 0.733910 1.177730 1.867555 3.027958 4.952890 8.056518 13.515479
2025-08-31 0.682155 1.126952 1.839346 3.075537 5.194216 8.725895 15.159393
2025-09-07 0.624090 1.059134 1.775543 3.055110 5.315775 9.203026 16.520334
2025-09-14 0.566949 0.986660 1.696031 2.997799 5.364293 9.554301 17.689532
2025-09-21 0.521615 0.929825 1.637125 2.969197 5.458048 9.990390 19.056881
2025-09-28 0.470275 0.861175 1.557639 2.908122 5.510479 10.402403 20.524403
2025-10-05 0.456025 0.859349 1.599630 3.080508 6.030017 11.766646 24.075801
2025-10-12 0.422084 0.816413 1.560071 3.090682 6.232938 12.538564 26.528958
2025-10-19 0.402309 0.798303 1.565206 3.188460 6.621713 13.727133 30.022538
2025-10-26 0.373566 0.759116 1.524516 3.187499 6.804276 14.509224 32.738114
2025-11-02 0.345608 0.718417 1.476232 3.164431 6.935517 15.195464 35.331585
2025-11-09 0.317566 0.674525 1.416637 3.109763 6.989703 15.717055 37.612928
2025-11-16 0.301899 0.655328 1.406954 3.163582 7.294369 16.839617 41.496620
2025-11-23 0.287169 0.636586 1.396176 3.213373 7.595187 17.989447 45.614987
2025-11-30 0.268147 0.606286 1.356712 3.191996 7.723631 18.743385 48.833197
2025-12-07 0.248038 0.571472 1.303549 3.132021 7.750374 19.251076 51.478723